The cool, drizzly morning that greeted the Bay Area on Friday is expected to propel a weather shift through the weekend, but don’t get used to it. Hotter-than-usual temperatures and dry — possibly fire-stoking — winds will be back next week, there’s no rain in sight and even the outlook for winter relief is not encouraging.
As climate scientist Daniel Swain puts it: “I’ve been holding off having this discussion for weeks, since I was hoping I could temper the seasonal outlook with some good short term news. Well, I guess that was not to be.” Swain cites “growing confidence that moderate to strong La Niña event will continue to strengthen and persist for much of the coming winter — substantially increasing the odds of a dry winter across most of California.”
An incoming weather front just skirted the Bay Area on Thursday, delivering rain in Oregon and the upper reaches of Northern California. It brought a stronger marine layer along the coast and drizzle in parts of the Bay Area but none of the rain that the parched region needed and firefighters and residents hoped for.
High temperatures are expected to be cooler than seasonal averages through Sunday with 50s to 60s along the coast to lower 70s inland — 20 to 30 degrees lower than a week ago when unusually high temperatures seared the Bay Area’s inland areas and left many throughout the region wishing they had air conditioning.
Rain would have helped firefighters snuff the Glass Fire in Wine Country but they’ve nonetheless made significant progress. As of Friday morning, the fire was 74% contained after blackening 67,484 acres and destroying more than 600 homes and 300 commercial buildings, many of them on winery properties. The fire did not grow overnight and Cal Fire officials described it as “creeping and smoldering” inside containment lines.
Further north, Cal Fire reported that the Zogg Fire, which killed four people and ripped through 56,338 acres west of Redding was 95% contained. The August Complex Fire, burning across seven Northern California counties, which have consumed more than a million acres, was 70% contained as of Thursday night.
This weekend’s temperatures should remain below average Friday, Saturday and into Sunday. But by Monday forecasters expect warming with highs climbing into the upper 80s or low 90s inland and 70s around the bay. Winds will shift, sweeping in from the north and toward the coast, again delivering dry winds that lower humidity and can bring gusts and increased fire danger.
As for rainfall, Bay Area residents shouldn’t get their hopes up.
“There’s no rain so far, looking out,” said Anna Schneider, a National Weather Service meteorologist. “It’s going to be warning and drying .”
Michael Cabanatuan is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: mcabanatuan@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @ctuan
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October 09, 2020 at 10:58PM
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Cooler air brings a flash of relief to Bay Area, but winter holds back on promise of rain - San Francisco Chronicle
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